South-Eastern Europe twelve years later. Between reforms and crises, closer to crises

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During the last decade, South-Eastern Europe has witnessed one of the worst political and military crisis of the post-War era. The Macedonian crisis is linked to the radical changes that occurred in the region as much as it is to the influence of several exterior factors ; it is part of the aftermath of the splitting apart of Yugoslavia. The international community was very much present in South-East Europe, but did not, at the occasion of this crisis, give very convincing evidence of its efficiency. Imagining the future of the situation in Macedonia does not give much enthusiasm : the country risks sinking into partition on a confederate ethnic basis and the choice of secession would be left open to partisan and nationalistic passions. – Summary AFRI-2002